The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three disturbances, including Subtropical Storm Patty, which is located near the Azores. An 80% chance of further development of a tropical depression in the southwestern Caribbean is expected. Florida’s immediate risk remains low, although potential for late-week impacts exists as systems evolve.
The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring three disturbances in the Atlantic as Subtropical Storm Patty forms. Forecasters expect a tropical depression to develop in the southwestern Caribbean in the coming week, with an 80% chance of low pressure evolving in that region. Additionally, a system near Puerto Rico is moving eastward and may bring thunderstorms to the Greater Antilles before merging with the other system. Subtropical Storm Patty, located west of the Azores, is moving east-southeast at approximately 7 mph with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and is forecasted to gradually weaken and could become a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday. Forecaster Ryan Truchalat has stated, “Most reliable guidance suggests that western flank of that steering high pressure will still extend over the Gulf, keeping a potential storm moving west or northwestward into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.” Several models indicate that a storm near the Yucatan or Cuba could potentially move northeast towards Florida by the end of next week, but overall, Florida remains safe this weekend. The tropics typically become more active near Florida in November, and while there have been only three hurricanes to make landfall in Florida during this month since 1851, the conditions having tropical development closer to the U.S. increase significantly.
During this time of year, hurricane activity typically shifts closer to the United States as the Atlantic hurricane season progresses. The system’s development is influenced by warm waters and low wind shear in the Caribbean, making this region prone to tropical storms and hurricanes. Notably, the month of November is generally associated with fewer storms compared to earlier months in the hurricane season. However, forecasts indicate significant potential for development in the coming days.
In summary, the National Hurricane Center is vigilant regarding the development of several disturbances that could impact the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, while Subtropical Storm Patty poses no immediate risk to Florida. Monitoring is crucial as the conditions favor potential tropical development towards the end of next week. Citizens are encouraged to remain attentive to updates from meteorological services as the situation evolves.
Original Source: www.tallahassee.com
