In March 2025, forecasts indicated persistent warmer-than-normal temperatures throughout the IGAD region, particularly impacting South Sudan, Uganda, and Kenya. Observations showed dangerously high temperatures, exceeding 38°C in several areas, prompting concerns about negative effects on health and agriculture. The necessity for timely updates on climate forecasts was emphasized to mitigate risks associated with extreme temperatures.
The 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) revealed that warmer-than-normal conditions are anticipated across much of the IGAD region in the March-May (MAM) 2025 seasonal forecast. Emphasis was placed on the necessity for ongoing updates, particularly on the sub-seasonal scale, given that most climate hazards occur during this time.
Weekly forecasts from February indicated a continuation of abnormally high temperatures throughout the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), raising concerns over potential extreme temperature hazards. Analysis of February’s temperatures showed that regions within South Sudan, Uganda, and parts of northern and western Kenya are experiencing sustained extreme heat.
Specifically, average daily maximum temperatures from February 1 through February 28 revealed that large portions of South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia recorded temperatures surpassing 38°C. In certain areas of South Sudan and Kenya, daily maximum temperatures reached as high as 40°C, highlighting an increasing risk of adverse effects on human health, livestock, and economic activities.
Extreme heat conditions are becoming more pronounced in the IGAD region, particularly affecting South Sudan and neighboring countries. As projections indicate continued warmer-than-normal seasons, it is critical to monitor temperature trends closely and prepare for potential impacts on health and livelihoods. The call for ongoing updates on climate forecasts is essential for effective response planning.
Original Source: reliefweb.int
