The rising alliance between Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin is a concern for global stability, particularly as the US, under President Trump, attempts to mend relations with Russia. While America’s efforts could signal a shift, analysts suggest that Xi’s confidence towards Taiwan may solidify. China’s military maneuvers further emphasize its growing assertiveness in the Asia-Pacific region, necessitating closer scrutiny of Taiwan’s role in these dynamics.
The evolving relationship between Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin has garnered global attention, particularly following their declaration of a “no-limits” partnership prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Despite opportunities to distance himself from Putin’s actions, Xi has only reinforced their alliance during various diplomatic engagements. Recent attempts by the United States under President Donald Trump to mend relations with Russia stirred questions about a potential rift between Moscow and Beijing aimed at diminishing China’s influence.
President Trump has notably communicated with Putin and engaged in discussions regarding the Ukraine conflict, raising concerns about the dynamic between the US, Russia, and China. Analysts speculate that Trump’s approach might inadvertently strengthen Xi’s resolve regarding Taiwan, especially as America appears less engaged in global alliances. Richard McGregor of the Lowy Institute articulated that Xi could perceive the West’s struggles as encouragement for his ambitions in Taiwan, noting, “A disengaged [America]… is great for China.”
Xi and Putin recently affirmed their partnership, emphasizing their friendship as a resilient force amid shifting global dynamics. During their latest conversation, Xi declared their nations to be “good neighbours and true friends,” while Putin briefed him on diplomatic talks with the US. Analysts like Wen-Ti Sung express skepticism about America’s ability to fracture the China-Russia alliance, citing ideological bonds that underlie their cooperation.
China’s aspirations extend beyond economic dominance to becoming a significant diplomatic actor. The Communist Party envisions itself as a key player in international diplomacy, evidenced by their mediation between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Additionally, China’s efforts to position itself as a mediator in the Ukraine conflict have been met with skepticism due to allegations of military support to Russia, which Beijing denies.
Amid these developments, China’s naval maneuvers illustrate its expanding military reach and assertiveness in the Asia-Pacific region. Recently, the People’s Liberation Army Navy conducted live-fire drills off the coasts of Australia and New Zealand, prompting reactions from regional analysts. Euan Graham of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute noted that such military activities serve to assess the resolve of alliances in the face of rising Chinese assertiveness.
Discussions regarding Taiwan have intensified, especially given the Trump administration’s hawkish stance toward China. Former diplomatic officials highlight parallels between Ukraine and Taiwan’s security scenarios. While the US maintains a strategic ambiguity regarding military involvement, the recent adjustments in the State Department’s language concerning Taiwan have incited displeasure in Beijing. American policy continues to support Taiwan’s defense needs under the Taiwan Relations Act while advocating for peaceful resolutions to cross-Strait tensions.
As observations of US foreign policy evolve, it is essential to recognize the implications for Taiwan in the context of America’s shifting stances. Trump’s contentious exchange with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is a critical reminder for Taiwan of the need to affirm its strategic value to the United States. Wen-Ti Sung emphasizes the urgency for Taiwan to establish itself as a positive contributor to US interests in light of changing geopolitical dynamics.
In summary, the partnership between Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin remains strong despite attempts by the United States to diminish their influence through renewed relations with Russia. The evolving dynamics present challenges for Taiwan amid increasing Chinese assertiveness and shifting American foreign policy. As China rises as a diplomatic power and the United States navigates its alliances, Taiwan must demonstrate its strategic significance and readiness.
Original Source: www.abc.net.au
