Lebanese President Joseph Aoun is set to visit Saudi Arabia, marking an effort to reintegrate Lebanon into the Arab community after a period of Iranian influence via Hezbollah. Aoun and Prime Minister Salam aim for reforms, including disarmament of militias. Saudi support is deemed crucial for Lebanon’s recovery and reconstruction, yet any aid will depend on necessary structural reforms to combat corruption.
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun is scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia, similar to Syria’s new leader Ahmad Al-Sharaa, as both leaders aim to affirm their countries’ return to the Arab community. Historically, both Lebanon and Syria fell under Iranian influence, particularly through Hezbollah in Lebanon, leading to a decline in support from Saudi Arabia after the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. This shift allowed Iran to extend its reach into Beirut, creating conditions of instability and corruption.
Under Iranian influence, Lebanon experienced weakened state institutions and an economy dominated by black market activities. However, there are signs of Lebanon moving away from this influence. Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government aims to extricate Lebanon from serving as a battleground for Iranian proxy conflicts and re-establish its position within the Arab sphere. Both leaders have committed to reforms and the disarmament of militias, including Hezbollah, while also addressing the reconstruction of southern Lebanon.
President Aoun’s visit to Riyadh is critical, as Lebanon seeks concrete support from Saudi Arabia to implement necessary reforms. Alone, Lebanon lacks the capacity to compel Israeli withdrawal; it must rely on Saudi political backing. Historically, Saudi Arabia has played a critical role, such as during the 1982 ceasefire that enabled Israel’s withdrawal from Beirut. For stability, Saudi assistance is essential, but any aid received will be contingent upon substantive structural reforms within Lebanon.
Moreover, for lasting stability, Lebanon requires security guarantees to prevent unwarranted Israeli incursions. During his visit, President Aoun will undoubtedly request financial aid for reconstruction in the south to foster civil peace and strengthen the state’s relationship with the Shiite community. However, Saudi Arabia will only offer support if Lebanon proves that it can tackle corruption and confront Hezbollah, among other challenges.
While the political establishment in Lebanon appears to endorse the new government, it may face strong opposition should it attempt to dismantle the entrenched privileges of the existing political class. Nevertheless, this confrontation may be the necessary measure for salvaging the state. Ultimately, without the backing of Saudi Arabia, Lebanon’s leadership will struggle to achieve its envisioned reforms and objectives.
In summary, Lebanese President Joseph Aoun’s upcoming visit to Saudi Arabia is pivotal for garnering support necessary for Lebanon’s recovery. The shift away from Iranian influence signifies a critical juncture, with substantial expectations for reforms and assistance from Saudi Arabia. Nevertheless, any support will hinge on Lebanon demonstrating a commitment to substantive reforms, making the relationship between Lebanon and Saudi Arabia crucial for future stability and reconstruction.
Original Source: www.arabnews.com