A panel discussion hosted by the Army University’s Command and General Staff College analyzed the challenges facing Iran and the ‘Axis of Resistance’, a coalition of Iranian-backed groups. Experts noted significant setbacks for Iran, particularly regarding leadership losses and changes in regional dynamics. The historical context of U.S.-Iran relations provided insights into current tensions and public sentiments. Overall, the discussion emphasized the need for strategies that engage and support the Iranian populace seeking change.
The Army University’s Command and General Staff College hosted a panel on February 6, 2025, to examine the current status of Iran and the ‘Axis of Resistance,’ a coalition of Iranian-backed militias and political entities. Dr. Mahir J. Ibrahimov, the CASO Director, emphasized the relevance of this discussion amid the U.S. and its allies’ challenges in the region. The panel featured CGSC faculty who provided insight into the cultural, economic, and political factors influencing Iran’s regional power and its historical interactions with the West.
Mark J. Bosse, Chair of Diplomacy Studies at CGSC, noted the struggles facing Iran and the ‘Axis of Resistance’ in recent years, specifically highlighting Yahya Sinwar’s failure to incite a full-scale regional conflict following the October 7 terror attacks on Israel. The ‘Axis’ has experienced significant setbacks, most notably the loss of Hamas fighters and the destruction of senior leadership within Hamas and Hezbollah. Leadership changes in Lebanon and Syria have indicated a diminishing Iranian influence in these regions.
Amid these adversities, Bosse pointed out Iran’s historical resilience in adapting to crises while retaining its regional power. He underscored the impact of anti-U.S. and anti-Israel sentiments in Oman’s media, which have shifted since the October 7 events, demonstrating Iran’s ability to influence public opinion. Bosse emphasized the underlying strength of the ‘Axis of Resistance’ stemming from Iran’s political and cultural leverage.
Dr. Tirdad Daei, a Senior Instructional Specialist at CGSC, provided context regarding U.S.-Iran relations, tracing their history from initial ties in 1833 through the 1953 CIA-backed coup against Prime Minister Dr. Mohammed Mosaddegh. Daei explained how decades of hostility, including the Iranian hostage crisis and subsequent actions in the Iran-Iraq War, have shaped the current dynamics. He mentioned that despite this long-standing tension, admiration for American values persists among the Iranian populace.
Daei highlighted the contrasting desires of the Iranian people for freedom and justice against the regime’s brutal crackdowns on dissent. He stated, “The divide between Iranian people and the regime is a critical factor in U.S. and Iran relations,” underscoring the need for strategies that engage with the Iranian populace seeking a brighter future.
Gary Hobin, an Assistant Professor in the Joint, Interagency, and Multinational Operations Department, described the ‘Axis of Resistance’ as a loose coalition of militias with independent motivations. While these groups may collaborate when their interests align, they do not operate under Iranian control. He noted the ramifications of the Syrian civil war on this network, specifically referencing the shift in Iraqi Shi’i political sentiments towards maintaining American presence in Iraq.
Hobin also observed that Iranian opposition groups have seized the current upheaval as an opportunity to voice their grievances, gaining traction among the populace. However, he cautioned that such protests often lack unified leadership, limiting their potential for long-term impact. The panel concluded with a discussion on Syria and Turkey, highlighting the ongoing significance of these issues for U.S. strategic interests.
This event was part of a seminar series aimed at addressing operational and strategic concerns relevant to the U.S., conducted in collaboration with various institutions. It aligns with the efforts of CASO and CGSC to provide insight into crucial geopolitical issues affecting U.S. interests.
The panel discussion at the Army University’s Command and General Staff College illuminated the evolving crisis facing Iran and the ‘Axis of Resistance’. Expert analysis revealed significant setbacks for Iran’s regional influence, particularly following the failure of recent military actions and evolving leadership dynamics in affiliated nations. The complexities of U.S.-Iran relations were underscored by historical context and the distinction between the Iranian regime and its populace’s aspirations for freedom. The importance of public sentiment and effective engagement strategies were highlighted as critical for future interactions between the United States and Iran.
Original Source: www.army.mil
