Israel must address the implications of Turkey’s rising geopolitical power and its potential alliances. A Turkish-Syrian defense pact could threaten Israel more than Iran. Israel should forge strategic alliances with moderate Arab nations and maintain cooperation with Greece and Cyprus to secure its interests and avoid military conflict with Turkey.
Turkey is not a rogue state like Iran; it is a robust regional power with significant influence over Europe and a growing presence in the East. Recent developments suggest that Turkey is close to forming a defense agreement with the Syrian regime, raising alarms for Israel. Such an alliance would provide Turkey with military bases in Syria, potentially posing a greater threat to Israel than Iran.
Unlike Iran, Turkey is integrated into the international community, being a NATO member with strong ties to the West. As a regional superpower, its influence spans from Europe to the Middle East. By supporting the ouster of the Assad regime through allies like Ahmad al-Sharaa, who is gaining global recognition, Turkey aims to bolster its strategic interests and enhance its role in the region, especially amidst waning Iranian and Russian power in Syria.
Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan plays a crucial role in shaping Turkey’s geopolitical agenda, which includes an enhanced military presence in Libya and Syria, and increased naval capabilities in the Mediterranean while balancing relations with both Russia and NATO. Turkey’s military stands as the second largest in NATO, and its defense industry’s exports have dramatically increased over the past decade, particularly in drone technology.
In addition to military strength, Turkey possesses vital non-military leverage, notably its control over natural gas pipelines to Europe, which is vital for the continent’s energy security. Turkey also manages the presence of over 3.5 million Syrian refugees, granting it significant influence over European migration issues.
Israel must proactively forge strategic alliances to mitigate the risk of future military conflicts with Turkey. Strategic partnerships with moderate Sunni Arab nations, such as Egypt, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, under U.S. sponsorship, could bolster Israel’s position. Additionally, Israel’s ongoing cooperation with Greece and Cyprus in military and energy sectors establishes clear boundaries for Turkey and highlights Israel’s advantageous partnerships.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is taking necessary precautions by convening security teams to evaluate the threats along Israel’s northeastern border, particularly concerning Turkey’s expanding influence. This situation serves as a critical test for Israel’s diplomatic and military response capabilities, encouraging collaboration on shared interests with Turkey to avoid conflicts.
In summary, Israel faces significant challenges posed by Turkey’s rising influence and potential alliances in the region. By recognizing Turkey as a formidable regional player distinct from Iran, Israel must adopt proactive measures to establish strategic partnerships that enhance its security. Collaborative efforts with moderate Arab nations, alongside existing alliances with Greece and Cyprus, are essential to mitigate risks and navigate this complex geopolitical landscape.
Original Source: www.ynetnews.com
