Gebru Asrat analyzes rising tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea, asserting that recent military developments do not necessitate imminent conflict. He emphasizes the importance of diplomatic solutions over military action, particularly concerning territorial claims, while acknowledging the potential for foreign intervention in any outbreak of war.
In a recent interview with Ethiopian Reporter, Gebru Asrat, a former executive of the TPLF and president of the Tigray Regional State, discussed the current tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea. He expressed concerns about the implications of Ethiopia’s military mobilization and the opening of an ammunition factory but argued that these developments do not necessarily signal an impending war. Instead, he contextualized the establishment of domestic ammunition production as a strategic move to enhance self-defense capabilities while conserving foreign currency.
Gebru noted that, at present, there are no compelling reasons for armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea. He cited Assab as a critical flashpoint, drawing parallels to the situation in Crimea. He underscored the importance of Ethiopia establishing a legal claim to Assab, arguing the Ethiopian government has not adequately prepared for international advocacy regarding this issue.
He asserted that before resorting to military actions, diplomatic efforts must be prioritized. Gebru criticized Ethiopian leaders for misunderstanding the permanent strategies of the Eritrean government. He claimed these strategies are aimed at weakening Ethiopia to strengthen Eritrea’s regional influence. Additionally, he accused Eritrea of unlawfully controlling Ethiopian land, asserting that any Ethiopian efforts to regain control of Assab are justified due to Eritrea’s initial claims.
Furthermore, Gebru suggested that should a war erupt, foreign powers such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Iran may become involved due to their interests in the region. Concurrently, Eritrean officials, like Yemane Gebremeskel, have responded to the rising tensions, calling it “war-mongering” among certain political factions in Ethiopia. The ongoing exchanges of accusations between activists from both nations reflect the growing hostilities and concern over military escalation.
In conclusion, Gebru Asrat’s insights emphasize the complexity of the situation between Eritrea and Ethiopia, urging for a diplomatic approach before military engagements are considered. The potential for outside intervention should also be contemplated as regional dynamics evolve.
In summary, Gebru Asrat’s interview highlights the underlying tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea and critiques both nations’ leadership for their approaches to conflict. He advocates for prioritizing legal and diplomatic avenues over military actions to resolve disputes, particularly regarding territorial claims. As international interests loom, Gebru’s comments reveal the intricate geopolitical landscape that could influence future engagements between these nations.
Original Source: borkena.com
