The RSF’s initiative to create a parallel government in Sudan incites concerns about the further fragmentation of the country amidst ongoing conflict. The signing of a political charter in Kenya reflects entrenched divisions and has prompted reactions from the Sudanese government and international stakeholders, warning of significant repercussions for political stability and regional relations.
The recent effort by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) to create a “parallel government” in Sudan has raised serious concerns both domestically and internationally regarding the further fragmentation of the already war-torn nation. On February 22, the RSF, along with allied political and armed factions, signed a political charter in Kenya, signaling their intention to establish this government, an initiative that was promptly rebuffed by the Sudanese government as “stillborn.”
For nearly two years, Sudan has been embroiled in a conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the RSF, which has resulted in over 29,600 fatalities and the displacement of more than 15 million individuals, according to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data and the International Organization for Migration. Political analyst Abdul-Raziq Ziyada commented on this precarious situation, observing that the ongoing war and the failure of political reconciliation attempts have contributed to this dire reality.
The political landscape is shifting, as there is an increasing recognition of a power imbalance within the country. Political science professor Khalid Dirar noted that the RSF’s actions may reflect a broader escalation in the conflict, adding that the creation of a parallel government could significantly alter the dynamics on the ground. Military expert Ahmed Ismail reiterated the need to acknowledge this shift, suggesting that the RSF is solidifying its presence beyond the Darfur region.
Analysts have cautioned against underestimating the implications of a dual executive structure. Political analyst Abdul-Rahman Awad warned of political, security, and economic consequences stemming from the existence of two governments, further complicating an already severe situation. Conversely, Abdul-Khaliq Mahjoub expressed skepticism about the RSF’s ability to successfully establish its government, noting that ongoing military developments could hinder their plans.
On a global scale, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres publicly expressed concern about the charter signing, indicating that it exacerbates the fragmentation occurring in Sudan. He emphasized the necessity of maintaining the country’s unity, sovereignty, and territorial integrity as paramount to achieving long-term stability. Saudi Arabia, which has been facilitating negotiations between Sudanese factions, similarly condemned the formation of a parallel government as illegitimate, asserting it undermines the will of the Sudanese people.
Additionally, the signing of the charter in Nairobi has strained relations between Sudan and Kenya. Following the event, Sudan’s Foreign Ministry summoned its Ambassador to Kenya for consultations, protesting Kenya’s hosting of rebel groups. Sudan is contemplating economic retaliatory measures against Kenya, including a potential ban on Kenyan imports, underscoring its dissatisfaction with perceived supportive actions towards the RSF.
The RSF’s endeavor to establish a parallel government marks a troubling development in Sudan, compounding existing divisions and escalating an ongoing conflict. The international community, including the UN and Saudi Arabia, has voiced alarm over these developments, emphasizing the need for political unity and stability. As the situation evolves, both internal dynamics and regional relations will play critical roles in shaping Sudan’s future.
Original Source: english.news.cn
