The HTS leadership in Syria signals a troubling future for the country’s governance, suggesting a preference for a centralized presidential system and the exclusion of federalism. With rapid governance changes under the guise of sharia law and a preference for majoritarian decision-making, there are fears of sidelining minorities and enforcing authoritarianism. The need for genuine inclusive negotiations is critical for Syria’s stability and democratic progress.
Despite the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and its allies claiming a commitment to inclusivity regarding Syria’s diverse communities, significant concerns arise over their governance approach. HTS leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, in a recent interview, suggested that presidential elections would not occur for several years, implying a preference for a presidential over a parliamentary system—a decision typically made through extensive constitutional negotiations. Furthermore, HTS has expressed opposition to federalism and decentralization, favoring a centralized model that risks exacerbating regional tensions, especially among minority groups.
The HTS administration also advocates for the governance of Syria under Islamic sharia law, making immediate changes that raise alarms among many Syrians and global observers. Their determination to exclude the United Nations from the constitutional process reflects a broader skepticism towards international involvement, especially given the UN’s previous failures in mediating Syrian peace talks. HTS anticipates a drawn-out constitutional negotiation process, dominated by their appointees rather than representatives of the broader Syrian populace.
Finally, HTS’s emphasis on majoritarian voting in constitutional discussions could lead to serious conflicts, as it risks marginalizing minority groups and repeating the violent transitions witnessed in other nations where Islamist factions have gained power. Although it is critical for inclusivity and consensus in democratic processes, HTS’s current stance suggests a trajectory towards entrenched authoritarianism under the guise of a new order. The international community must encourage HTS to embrace a genuine negotiation process, considering Syria’s complex history and the pressing need for a stable governance framework that respects all communities.
Syria has been embroiled in conflict since 2011, leading to a power vacuum and a fragmented governance structure. Following the emergence of various rebel factions, the HTS has taken control, purporting to govern an inclusive state for Syria’s diverse populations. However, the group’s authoritarian tendencies and historical aversion to true power-sharing raise concerns about their intentions for the nation’s future governance and constitutional framework.
In summary, the current political landscape under the HTS reveals a troubling adherence to centralized power and the potential imposition of a singular Islamic governance model that neglects the necessary pluralism required for Syria’s recovery. HTS’s pronouncements suggest a pre-determined governance framework that poses risks to the country’s stability and unity. Engagement from the international community is essential to press for a sincere negotiation process that prioritizes inclusivity and the protection of minority rights, steering Syria away from its violent past toward a more hopeful future.
Original Source: foreignpolicy.com
