Israeli intelligence indicates that Iran is planning an attack on Israel from Iraqi territory, possibly before the U.S. presidential election on November 5. The expected offensive may involve drones and ballistic missiles, utilizing pro-Iran militias in Iraq as a tactical measure to evade Israeli counterattacks.
Israeli intelligence has warned that Iran may be poised to launch an attack against Israel using Iraqi territory as a staging ground. According to an Axios report dated October 31, 2024, and attributed to two unnamed Israeli sources, such an assault could occur within the coming days, potentially prior to the U.S. presidential election scheduled for November 5. The anticipated operation is reportedly to involve a substantial deployment of drones and ballistic missiles, executed through Iraqi militias affiliated with Iran. This strategic approach appears to be an effort by Tehran to shield itself from retaliation impacting its critical military assets in Iran, thereby evading direct confrontation with Israeli forces.
Tensions between Iran and Israel have been escalating for several years, with both nations viewing each other as primary adversaries within the Middle East. Iran’s support for various militia groups across the region, particularly in Iraq and Syria, has provided it with a means to influence Israeli security and conduct operations indirectly. The context of this report is significant as it comes in the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election, a period known for heightened geopolitical activity. These dynamics increase the stakes for both Tehran and Jerusalem, as Iran may seek to capitalize on perceived vulnerabilities in Israeli defenses during this time.
In summary, the situation regarding Iran’s potential military actions from Iraq presents a serious concern for Israeli security. As indicated by intelligence reports, the timing of such an offensive could closely align with pivotal geopolitical events, particularly the upcoming U.S. elections. Moreover, by utilizing proxies in Iraq, Iran seems to pursue a calculated strategy to minimize its exposure to direct Israeli retaliation.
Original Source: www.jpost.com
