The article discusses the intensifying arms race in Somalia between Egypt and Ethiopia, stemming from their historical dispute over the Nile. Egypt has started providing military support to Somalia, perceived as a threat by Ethiopia, which has accused Somalia of allowing illicit arms supplies into the region. Amidst these developments, both nations are vying for influence over Somalia’s emerging security forces, complicating the regional security landscape.
The longstanding dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia over the Nile River has intensified into an arms race taking place in Somalia, jeopardizing regional cooperation against terrorism. Somalia, asserting its sovereignty, has begun to welcome military support from Egypt, an old adversary of Ethiopia, which perceives this development as a significant threat to its national security. In recent months, Egypt has commenced sending arms to Somalia, having already delivered a shipment to the Port of Mogadishu. This military assistance is intended to bolster the capability of the Somali armed forces. In contrast, Ethiopia, already involved militarily in Somalia as part of the African Union’s mission and in direct support of the Somali government, has accused Egypt of exacerbating conditions within a region still largely under threat from the militant group al-Shabaab. Ethiopian officials have raised alarms about the implications of the military aid being directed to Somalia, describing it as a potential boon for terrorist organizations. Somali officials, however, have countered these claims, suggesting that Ethiopia’s own arms transports represent a violation of Somali sovereignty—specifically, references to weapons being sent to the Puntland region have sparked outrage within the Somali government. The tensions have been further fueled by Ethiopia’s recent agreement with Somaliland for military and shipping access, which Somalia views as an encroachment on its territorial integrity. The deterioration of relations has affected more than just military partnerships; the dynamics within the Horn of Africa coalition involving Somalia, Ethiopia, and Eritrea appear to be shifting to Egypt’s favor. Recent interactions at the UN General Assembly signify an intent by Somalia to strengthen alliances that could counterbalance Ethiopia’s influence in the region.
The conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia centers on the exploitation of the Nile River, particularly regarding the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) project. This issue has historically caused friction between the two nations, leading to confrontations that have yet to manifest into direct military conflict. The emergence of Somalia as a battleground for influence adds a new dimension to their rivalry, as both nations vie for dominance and control over military support and sovereignty in a region facing serious security threats from militant groups. Somalia’s calls for the African Union to exclude Ethiopian troops from upcoming stabilization missions illustrate the extent of the rift, emphasizing the complexity of regional politics and alliances. The backdrop of political instability in Somalia, further exacerbated by Puntland’s claims of independence, complicates the situation, creating a precarious environment for all involved.
In summary, the escalating arms race in Somalia signifies a critical juncture in the relationships between Egypt and Ethiopia, with potential ramifications for regional security and stability. The involvement of external military aid raises concerns among involved nations, particularly Somalia, which strives to maintain its autonomy amidst competing interests. The ongoing tensions coupled with Somalia’s deteriorating situation further complicate efforts to combat extremist threats and stabilize governance in the Horn of Africa.
Original Source: nation.africa
